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Inflation News
- What is inflation?
- How does inflation affect my investments?
- What should I do to hedge inflation?
- How does inflation affect my income?
- How long does inflation last?
- Who controls inflation?
- Are taxes affected by inflation?
Inflation can be caused by various factors, including:
- Demand-Pull Inflation: This occurs when there is an increase in demand for goods and services, which leads to increased prices due to greater demand than supply. Toilet paper during covid for example.
- Cost-Push Inflation: This type of inflation happens when the cost of production for goods and services increases. Factors such as rising wages, higher raw material costs, or disruptions in the supply chain can lead to cost-push inflation.
- Built-In Inflation: Also known as wage-price inflation, this occurs when workers demand higher wages to keep up with rising prices, and businesses, in turn, raise prices to cover increased labor costs. This is happening with the auto workers union protests now.
- Monetary Policy: Central banks, such as the Federal Reserve in the United States, can influence inflation through their control of the money supply and interest rates. If a central bank increases the money supply significantly (loans and the stimulus checks) or keeps interest rates too low for an extended period, it can stimulate demand and potentially lead to inflation.
- Fiscal Policy: Government spending and taxation policies can also impact inflation. For example, if a government increases its spending (Ukraine war) without raising sufficient revenue (raising taxes), it may create inflationary pressures in the economy.
- Purchasing Power Erosion: The worth of your dollar today will be worth a percentage less tomorrow.
- Asset Values: Inflation can affect the value of various asset classes differently. Some assets, like stocks and real estate, may offer a degree of protection against inflation because their values can rise with the overall price level. If you have savings at 2% interest but inflation is at 5% you are losing 3% of your money due to inflation.
- Interest Rates: Central banks often respond to high inflation by raising interest rates. Higher interest rates can have several effects on investments:
- Bond Prices: When interest rates rise, the prices of existing bonds typically fall.
- Stocks: Higher interest rates can lead to higher borrowing costs for companies, potentially reducing their profitability. Public companies post a lower revenue their stock prices can see a slide.
- Commodities: Inflation can drive up the prices of commodities like gold, oil, and agricultural products. Commodities can go up in price due to inflation so there is a way to hedge your investment. higher priced raw materials can mean higher portfolio values.
- Cash and Fixed-Income Investments: Cash held in low-interest savings accounts, money market funds, or fixed-income investments with low yields may lose purchasing power in a high-inflation environment. If you don’t have a higher yielding account there is a potential to lose the value of your dollar in these accounts.
- Equity Investments: Historically, stocks have been a reasonably good hedge against inflation over the long term because companies can adjust their prices and earnings to account for rising costs. However, the impact of inflation on stocks can vary depending on economic conditions and other factors.
- Diversification: A well-diversified investment portfolio that includes a mix of asset classes (stocks, bonds, real estate, commodities, etc.) can help mitigate the effects of inflation. Different asset classes may respond differently to inflationary pressures, reducing overall portfolio risk.
Diversification is a good hedge on inflation. Take a look at some of the ways to diversify your portfolio:
- Stocks: Historically, stocks have provided a good hedge against inflation over the long term. Companies can often raise prices and earnings to compensate for rising costs. Consider investing in a diversified portfolio of stocks or funds. Dividend-paying stocks can be particularly attractive since they may provide income that keeps pace with inflation.
- Real Assets: Investments in physical assets like real estate and commodities can be effective hedges against inflation. Real estate properties, including real estate investment trusts (REITs), can provide rental income and appreciate in value over time. Commodities like gold, silver, oil, and agricultural products often see price increases during inflationary periods. Consider including these assets in your portfolio to diversify your holdings.
- Inflation-Indexed Bonds: Some governments issue inflation-indexed bonds, such as U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). These bonds are designed to protect investors from inflation by adjusting their principal and interest payments in line with changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI).
- Dividend-Growth Funds: Investing in mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that focus on companies with a history of increasing dividend payments can be a way to potentially receive income that outpaces inflation.
- Commodity ETFs: Exchange-traded funds that track the performance of various commodities can provide exposure to the potential price appreciation of these assets during inflationary periods.
- Quality Corporate Bonds: While rising interest rates can impact bond prices negatively, consider investing in high-quality corporate bonds or bond funds that offer relatively higher yields. These bonds may provide better returns than government bonds during periods of inflation.
- Foreign Investments: Diversifying your investments globally can help mitigate the impact of inflation in your home country. Consider investing in international stocks and bonds, as well as assets denominated in foreign currencies.
- Cryptocurrencies: Some investors view cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation due to their limited supply and perceived store of value properties. However, cryptocurrencies can be highly volatile and speculative, so approach them with caution and consider them as a small part of your portfolio, if at all.
- Diversification: The key to effective inflation hedging is diversification. A well-balanced and diversified portfolio can spread risk across different asset classes and regions, reducing the impact of inflation on your overall holdings.
- Regular Review: Periodically review and adjust your investment portfolio to ensure it aligns with your long-term financial goals and reflects changes in economic conditions and inflation expectations.
- Purchasing Power Erosion: With the reduction of your dollar you can now purchase less for the same amount of money. You will find it challenging to afford the goods and services of what you are used to due to the less value of your dollar.
- Fixed Income: If your income is fixed or does not adjust for inflation, its real (inflation-adjusted) value will decline over time. For example, if you have a fixed pension or annuity, the purchasing power of those payments will erode as inflation increases. This can make it difficult to maintain your desired lifestyle, especially in retirement.
- Wage Growth: Inflation can influence wage growth. In high inflation periods employers are hesitant to raising your wages to keep up with inflation. This will directly effect your income.
- Interest Income: If you rely on interest income from savings accounts, certificates of deposit (CDs), or fixed-income investments, you may find that your interest earnings are insufficient to keep pace with inflation. In a high-inflation environment, the real return on these investments (after accounting for inflation) can be negative, effectively reducing your income.
- Investment Income: Inflation can impact the returns on your investment portfolio. If your investments do not outpace inflation, your investment income may not provide the purchasing power protection you need. You may need to consider investments with the potential for higher returns, such as stocks or inflation-protected securities, to combat the erosive effects of inflation on your income.
- Cost of Borrowing: Inflation can affect the cost of borrowing. If you have variable-rate loans, such as adjustable-rate mortgages or variable-rate credit cards, your interest payments may increase as central banks raise interest rates to combat inflation. If the interest rates increase the cost of you borrowing money will increase. Over the lifetime of the loan, depending on how much you borrow, this can cost you ten of thousands of dollars.
- Retirement Planning: Inflation is a crucial factor to consider when planning for retirement. You’ll want to ensure that your retirement income and savings will be sufficient to maintain your desired lifestyle throughout your retirement years, taking into account the potential for rising living costs. Your retirement financial goal should take in affect the cost of inflation for your retirement age.
To mitigate the impact of inflation on your income, consider the following strategies:
- Invest Wisely: Diversify your portfolio. Seek help from a financial professional to make sure you have the right map to your financial goals.
- Regular Income Adjustments: Check your worth on the market. There are sites out there where you can compare your salary for your title compared to the same titles and the salary they are offering. Getting a raise to keep up with market value is always a fun negotiation.
- Diversify Income Streams: Create multiple income streams through part-time work, freelance gigs, or side businesses to supplement fixed income sources. There are also multi level marketing firms out there that can help you make some side money. These organizations always have a system in place and you can jump right in and start making some extra income.
- Budget and Plan: Regularly review your budget and financial plan to ensure that you are accounting for rising living expenses.
- Emergency Fund: Maintain an emergency fund to cover unexpected expenses, which can help protect your long-term investments from being prematurely liquidated during inflationary periods. An emergency fund should consist of a minimum 3 months salary saved in a liquid account just in case an emergency occurred.
- Consult a Financial Advisor: Seek advice from a financial advisor or a financial professional to help set up a road map for your investments. who can help you create a financial plan tailored to your specific circumstances and inflation expectations.
- Creeping Inflation: This is a mild and generally sustained increase in prices, usually ranging from 1% to 3% annually.
- Cyclical Inflation: This type of inflation is tied to economic cycles. this is characterized by spikes in the numbers
- Hyperinflation: Hyperinflation is a severe form of inflation characterized by extremely rapid and uncontrollable price increases.
- Stagflation: Stagflation is an unusual situation where inflation persists alongside stagnant economic growth and high unemployment.
- Central Banks
- Interest Rates
- Open Market Operations
- Fiscal Policy
- Exchange Rates
- Supply-Side Policies
- Inflation Targets
Yes, taxes can be affected by inflation in several ways, and the impact of inflation on taxes can vary depending on the country’s tax laws and regulations. Here are some ways in which inflation can influence taxes:
- Bracket Creep
- Capital Gains Taxes
- Interest and Investment Income
- Standard Deductions and Exemptions
- Alternative Minimum Tax (AMT)
- Sales Tax and Excise Taxes
Inflation can take your hard earned money and devalue it right in front of your face. With the prices of goods and services going up, the stock market depleting and taxes creeping up on you make sure you have your money in the right place to hedge this silent financial killer.
There are many options out there to make sure you are in a good financial situation. Make sure you subscribe to our site to keep you up to date on minding your cents!
We have other articles about personal finance check them out below:
529 plan is it really good for your children?
- Tax Advantages: The primary benefit of a 529 plan are the tax advantages. You may not deduct the contributions but, the investments within the plan grow tax-free. In addition, withdrawals used for qualified educational expenses, such as tuition, books, and room and board, are also tax-free. This equals big savings overtime when compared to traditional savings accounts than can be taxed by the IRS.
- Higher Potential Returns: Inside the 529 plan you can invest in money markets, stock and bond funds, These offer a little more risk but also a higher rate of return.
- Specialized Purpose: 529 plans are designed for educational expenses. It creates a designated savings account which will help limit spending this money on another investment.
- Compound Growth: This refers to the interest rate and compounding interest. With the use of dollar cost average (investing monthly) it allows your money to grow faster.
- Gift and Estate Tax Benefits: A 529 plan can be an effective way for grandparents or other family members to contribute to a child’s education. In the United States, contributions to a 529 plan are considered gifts, and there are provisions that allow for larger contributions to be made in a single year without triggering gift tax consequences. This can be especially useful for family members who want to make substantial contributions to a child’s education.
- Flexibility in Beneficiary Designation: If the intended beneficiary of a 529 plan decides not to pursue higher education or receives scholarships, you can put the money under a new beneficiary meaning you can move the money from child to child.
It’s important to note that while a 529 plan offers many advantages, it also has certain limitations and restrictions. For example, non-qualified withdrawals (withdrawals not used for qualified educational expenses) may be subject to income tax and a 10% penalty on the earnings. In addition, each state’s 529 plan may have its own unique features and benefits, so it’s important to research and choose the plan that best aligns with your financial goals and circumstances.
Also keep in mind any 529 plan total investments will be used on your Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA®). The savings in the 529 plan can limit the amount of money you are loaned or granted.
What are the disadvantages to a 529 plan?
While 529 plans offer numerous advantages for saving for education expenses, they also come with some disadvantages and limitations that individuals should consider:
- Limited Use of Funds: 529 plans are designed to save for qualified education purposes. If you withdraw funds for non-qualified expenses, you may be subject to income tax and a 10% penalty on the earnings portion of the withdrawal. This is not a flexible savings account.
- Investment Risk: Many 529 plans offer different investment options, including stock and bond funds. There is a big risk investing in these funds but can also lead to higher returns, it also means that your investments are subject to market fluctuations.
- Limited Control: Once you contribute to a 529 plan, you pick a way it’s invested but you don’t have control like you would in a regular brokerage account.
- State-Specific Rules: Each state administers its own 529 plans, and the rules and features can vary significantly from state to state. If you’re not satisfied with your own state’s plan, you can invest in another state’s plan, but you might miss out on state tax benefits if you do so. This complexity can make it challenging to choose the right plan.
- Impact on Financial Aid: Money held in a 529 plan can affect a student’s eligibility for need-based financial aid. While it’s considered a parental asset in the Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA), withdrawals are typically treated as income to the beneficiary, which can impact aid eligibility in subsequent years.
- Fees and Expenses: 529 plans often come with fees, including administrative fees and management fees for the underlying investments. Everything has a fee now so make sure to read about the fees prior to investing your money.
- Estate Planning Implications: Contributions to a 529 plan are considered gifts, and if they exceed certain annual limits (in 2023, up to $16,000 per beneficiary for single filers or $32,000 for joint filers), they could have gift tax implications.
- Non-Transferable for Other Expenses: While 529 plans are designed for education expenses, if the beneficiary decides not to pursue higher education, changing the beneficiary to another family member is an option. If not used for educational purposes then the penalties and tax implications will show up in that tax year.
- Not All Educational Expenses Covered: While 529 plans can cover a wide range of qualified education expenses, they may not cover certain costs like student loans, transportation, or insurance.
It’s essential to carefully consider these disadvantages and weigh them against the benefits when deciding whether a 529 plan is the right choice for your education savings goals. In some cases, other savings or investment options may be more suitable for your specific financial situation and objectives. Remember when investing the concept of multiple streams of investing should be considered. A table is more stable with 4 legs compared to 1 or 2.
Is an indexed universal life a good plan for saving money for your children?
Advantages:
- Tax-Deferred Growth: IUL policies allow for tax-deferred growth of your cash value. This means that the cash value component of the policy can grow without you having to pay taxes on the earnings until you withdraw the money.
- Death Benefit: In addition to serving as a savings vehicle, IUL policies provide a death benefit. If the policyholder (usually the parent) passes away, the beneficiaries (in this case, the children) receive a death benefit, typically income-tax-free. This can provide financial protection for your family.
- Flexible Premiums: Many IUL policies offer flexible premium payments, allowing you to adjust your contributions based on your financial situation.
- Indexed Returns: IUL policies are often linked to a stock market index (e.g., S&P 500), and your cash value may grow based on the performance of that index. This means you have the potential for higher returns compared to traditional whole life policies.
- Guaranteed insurability: Since this is a permanent or lifelong policy your child will be covered with life insurance even if they are diagnosed with an illness at some point in their life.
- Living Benefits: Some policies in specific states have living benefits. Meaning you can receive a percentage of the face amount to help with a treatment of a chronic or critical illness.
Disadvantages:
- Complexity: IUL policies can be complex and difficult to understand. It’s important to thoroughly review the policy terms, fees, and how the cash value is calculated. Seek help from a financial professional if you have any questions.
- Fees and Charges: IUL policies often come with various fees, including insurance charges, administrative fees, and surrender charges if you want to access your cash value early. These fees can erode the returns on your investment.
- Risk of Poor Returns: While IUL policies have the potential for good returns if the linked index performs well, there’s also the risk of poor returns. If the index underperforms, your cash value growth may be limited or even result in losses. Some polices that are indexed will protect against the loss of any savings but you will lose out on the gains of the interest.
- Limited Access to Funds: Accessing the cash value in an IUL policy can be restrictive and may require surrendering the policy or taking out loans, which can have tax implications.
- Long-Term Commitment: IUL policies are typically designed for the long term. If you decide to surrender the policy or make significant changes early on, you may incur substantial fees and penalties.
- Lower Returns Compared to Other Investments: Some individuals may find that other investment options, such as a well-diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds, offer better potential returns with lower fees and greater flexibility.
- Not Guaranteed: The performance of an IUL policy is linked to the performance of the underlying index, and there are typically no guarantees of returns. Traditional savings accounts or certificates of deposit, for example, offer guaranteed returns.
Is the money saved in an IUL used when applying for student loans?
The money saved in an Indexed Universal Life (IUL) insurance policy is typically not counted as an asset when applying for federal student loans through the Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA). This is because the cash value of life insurance policies, including IULs, is typically considered an exempt asset for federal financial aid purposes.
However, there are a few important points to keep in mind:
- Federal Aid Exemption: The cash value of life insurance policies, including the cash value in an IUL, is generally considered an exempt asset for federal student aid calculations. This means that it should not affect your Expected Family Contribution (EFC), which is used to determine your eligibility for federal grants, loans, and other aid programs.
- State Aid and Institutional Aid: While the cash value of an IUL may not affect your federal aid eligibility, some state-based aid programs and individual colleges and universities may have their own rules and policies regarding the treatment of life insurance cash value. It’s essential to check with these institutions to understand how they assess assets for financial aid purposes.
- Withdrawals and Loans: If you decide to access the cash value in your IUL policy to help pay for education expenses, any withdrawals or loans you take from the policy may be considered income for federal financial aid purposes in the year you receive them. This could potentially impact your aid eligibility in that specific year.
- Tax Considerations: When you withdraw money from an IUL, it may be subject to taxation depending on the amount and the specific policy terms. These tax implications should be considered when using the cash value for educational expenses.
Is the money in a 529 plan used in applying for student loans and how can that affect the child?
Money in a 529 plan can affect the child when applying for student loans, but the impact is generally more favorable compared to having the same amount of money held in a regular savings or investment account. Here’s how 529 plans are typically considered in the context of student loans and financial aid:
- Impact on Financial Aid Eligibility: Money held in a 529 plan is considered an asset of the parent, not the child. When determining eligibility for federal student aid through the Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA), parental assets are assessed differently than student assets. Specifically, a maximum of 5.64% of parental assets is counted toward the Expected Family Contribution (EFC), which is used to determine financial aid eligibility. In contrast, student assets (such as savings accounts in the student’s name) are assessed at a higher rate of 20%.
- Tax-Free Distributions for Qualified Education Expenses: If funds are withdrawn from a 529 plan and used for qualified education expenses, such as tuition, fees, books, and room and board, these withdrawals are typically not counted as income on the FAFSA. This can be a significant advantage because income is assessed more heavily than assets in the financial aid formula.
- Taxable Distributions for Non-Qualified Expenses: If you withdraw funds from a 529 plan for non-qualified expenses (expenses that don’t meet the criteria set by the IRS), the earnings portion of the withdrawal may be subject to income tax, and a 10% penalty may apply. In this case, the distribution could impact your income for the year and, indirectly, your financial aid eligibility in subsequent years.
- Considerations for Non-Parent Account Owners: If the 529 plan is owned by someone other than the child’s parents (e.g., grandparents), it may not be counted as an asset on the FAFSA. However, withdrawals from such plans are treated as student income, which can significantly impact financial aid eligibility.
- School-Specific Policies: It’s important to note that some colleges and universities may have their own policies regarding how they consider 529 plan assets when awarding institutional aid. While federal aid policies are consistent across the United States, individual schools may have varying practices.
Is an indexed annuity an option for saving for college?
An indexed annuity is an insurance product that may not be the best choice for saving for college for most individuals. While it can provide some benefits, it also comes with limitations and complexities that should be carefully considered:
Advantages of an Indexed Annuity:
- Guaranteed Principal Protection: Indexed annuities typically offer a guaranteed minimum interest rate, which means that your principal is protected from market downturns. This feature can provide a level of safety for your savings.
- Tax-Deferred Growth: Earnings within an indexed annuity grow tax-deferred, meaning you won’t pay taxes on the gains until you make withdrawals.
- Lifetime Income Options: Annuities can provide a stream of income, which can be useful in retirement planning. Some indexed annuities offer riders that guarantee lifetime income payments.
Disadvantages and Considerations:
- Complexity: Indexed annuities can be complex financial products, with various features, fees, and surrender charges. Understanding how they work can be challenging.
- Limited Growth Potential: While indexed annuities offer some potential for market-linked returns, these returns are often capped, and they may not keep pace with the growth potential of investments like stocks or even some other types of savings accounts.
- Surrender Charges: Many indexed annuities come with surrender charges if you withdraw your money before a specified period, often several years. These charges can be substantial and limit your access to your funds.
- Lack of Liquidity: Indexed annuities are not typically designed for short-term savings or easily accessible funds. They are long-term financial products.
- Fees and Expenses: Indexed annuities can have various fees, including annual fees, administrative fees, and fees for optional riders. These fees can reduce the overall return on your investment.
- Tax Treatment: When you withdraw money from an indexed annuity, the earnings are taxed as ordinary income. This can be less favorable than the tax treatment of certain college savings accounts, such as 529 plans, which may offer tax-free withdrawals for qualified educational expenses.
- Not Specifically Designed for Education: Indexed annuities are not designed with college savings in mind. They are typically used for retirement income or wealth preservation, which might not align with your college savings goals.
For saving for college, options like 529 college savings plans or Coverdell Education Savings Accounts are often more suitable. These accounts offer tax advantages and are specifically designed to help families save for education expenses. Additionally, they provide more flexibility and control over your investments.
Always seek out help from a financial professional to create and assist you in planning for your children’s higher education. The biggest cost to your savings program is delaying starting a program. The more time your money must work the better the rewards will be in the future of the savings account.
Each situation is different so working out a game plan that fits your situation is the best way to secure your child’s educational future.